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RE: [Bug-gnubg] Luck analysis question


From: Ian Shaw
Subject: RE: [Bug-gnubg] Luck analysis question
Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 10:04:08 +0100


> -----Original Message-----
> From: Øystein O Johansen [mailto:address@hidden
> Sent: 12 June 2003 09:43
> 
> >> P.S.  I have already found some interesting differences in
> >> decisions by
> >> GNU 0.14. The first and foremost has to be its decision to
> >> play in money
> >> 52 as 13/8 13/11 as well as at 0-0 in a 7 pt. match
> 
> > Are you sure. Mine plays 13/8 24/22 at these scores, and even 2-away
> 4-away.
> 
> At 2-ply it plays 13/11 and at 0-ply it plays 24/22
> 
> -Øystein
> 
How right you are. Apologies to Albert for my imprecise checking. However, it 
is *only* 2-ply that likes the building play. 1-, 3- and 4-ply (below) like the 
slot. This could make for an interesting rollout, if 0.14 is mis-playing the 
opening roll at 2-ply.

    1. Cubeful 4-ply    24/22 13/8                   Eq.:  +0.044
       0.511 0.138 0.005 - 0.489 0.130 0.004
        4-ply cubeful
    2. Cubeful 4-ply    13/11 13/8                   Eq.:  +0.039 ( -0.005)
       0.508 0.152 0.007 - 0.492 0.140 0.005
        4-ply cubeful
    3. Cubeful 3-ply    13/8 6/4                     Eq.:  -0.078 ( -0.121)
       0.479 0.134 0.005 - 0.521 0.144 0.007
        3-ply cubeful [grandmaster]

--Ian




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