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Re: [Bug-gnubg] Empirical validation of rating prediction formula


From: Holger
Subject: Re: [Bug-gnubg] Empirical validation of rating prediction formula
Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 18:48:24 +0200

At 21:32 05.10.2003, address@hidden wrote:
As  a reminder:  a while  ago I  did some  simulations to  correlate ELO
rating  with checker  and cube  error rates,  resulting in  a predictive
formula for the rating of a player from a GNUBG error analysis.

An action item would now be to change the verbal playing level indicator
("beginner",  etc.) to  also  be based  on  the estimated  rating as  it
currently gives inconsisten results.

Having had some time to get used to the new rating calculation I have to say that I'm not sure that it's inconsistent (at least for Intermediate and above). I rather tend to believe we have to think over our perception of FIBS ratings. It seems to me that e.g. a rating of 1750 is not nearly as good as I formerly thought. I think it just shows some understanding of game principles and is, how gnubg puts it, "Intermediate". (The categorization depends quite a bit of the relation of chequer play and cube errors, though.)

Regards,

Holger




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