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From: | bob koca |
Subject: | [Bug-gnubg] strange result involving reported s.d. in very long rollout |
Date: | Mon, 7 Dec 2009 23:49:47 -0500 |
I rolled out 27aFAgDbtoUCAA:cAkgAAAAAAAA 1296^2 times at DMP After 644721 rollouts it was at .610614 win chance and s.d. in win chance of .000015 After 1679616 (about 2.5 times as many games) it was at .610612 win chance and s.d in win chance of .000020 How would the s.d. get so much larger when it should have gone down to about 5/8 of the .000015 value to about .000008 or .000009 Is it a statisical fluke or is something going wrong? Bob Koca Chat with Messenger straight from your Hotmail inbox. Check it out |
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