Dear Sirs,
My name is Dr. Valery Perminov. I live and work in Moscow, Russia. I and my
group in Institute for Mathematical Modelling of Russian Academy of Sciences
are studying the influenza epidemic spread in large cities. We have
constructed an individual-based model for a simulation of the process, its
consequences and possible interventions. Results obtained for a small-scale
model has been presented at different conferences. If you are interested in
you can find the corresponding paper on the site:
http://www.iemss.org/iemss2006, in the Proceedings, session 8). Main purpose
of this work was to show a robustness of the model and a possibility to
reproduce well-known peculiarities of the flu epidemic. Now the full-scale
model is ready for simulation, we have got interesting results that concern a
restoring the model parameters from available statistical data and would be
glad to present them at the Swarmfest2008.