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Re: [Bug-gnubg] Re: The importance of METs
From: |
Jim Segrave |
Subject: |
Re: [Bug-gnubg] Re: The importance of METs |
Date: |
Thu, 4 Sep 2003 12:37:35 +0200 |
User-agent: |
Mutt/1.4i |
On Wed 03 Sep 2003 (14:15 -0400), Douglas Zare wrote:
> Quoting address@hidden:
>
> > On Tue, 2 Sep 2003, Joseph Heled wrote:
> >
> > > Here are the numbers.
> > > E1 (woolsey wins both) - 31747
> > > E2 (mec26 wins both) - 32067
> > > E3 - 186186
> > >
> > > The verdict is?
>
> Is this what has been touted as a 1.2% improvement? I would not conclude that
> from those numbers.
The 1.2% was someone misplacing a decimal point in a surfeit of
enthousiasm - the actual value suggested is 0.12 percent.
> > I expected the correlation to be much higher - I am surprised that the MET
> > used influences the outcome of more than a quarter of matches (although
> > these MET's are much more different than Snowie and mec26)
>
> Better variance reduction may fix this. If I understand your methodology, if
> the
> length of a game but not the result depends on the MET, then the rest of the
> match should be only slightly more correlated than independent trials starting
> at the resulting match score. If so, you may find a greater correlation if you
> make the rolls of each game independent of the number of moves made up to that
> point. You could test why the matches diverge, too.
>
> Douglas Zare
>
>
>
>
>
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--
Jim Segrave address@hidden
- Re: [Bug-gnubg] Re: The importance of METs, (continued)
- Re: [Bug-gnubg] Re: The importance of METs, Nardy Pillards, 2003/09/02
- Re: [Bug-gnubg] Re: The importance of METs, nis, 2003/09/01
- Re: [Bug-gnubg] Re: The importance of METs, Nis Jorgensen, 2003/09/02
- Re: [Bug-gnubg] Re: The importance of METs, nis, 2003/09/02
- Re: [Bug-gnubg] Re: The importance of METs, Douglas Zare, 2003/09/03
- Re: [Bug-gnubg] Re: The importance of METs, Nis Jorgensen, 2003/09/04
- Re: [Bug-gnubg] Re: The importance of METs,
Jim Segrave <=
- Re: [Bug-gnubg] Re: The importance of METs, Douglas Zare, 2003/09/04
- Re: [Bug-gnubg] Re: The importance of METs, Joseph Heled, 2003/09/05
- Re: [Bug-gnubg] Re: The importance of METs, Douglas Zare, 2003/09/09
- RE: [Bug-gnubg] Re: The importance of METs, Albert Silver, 2003/09/09
- RE: [Bug-gnubg] Re: The importance of METs, Albert Silver, 2003/09/04
- Re: [Bug-gnubg] Re: The importance of METs, Joseph Heled, 2003/09/04
RE: [Bug-gnubg] Re: The importance of METs, Ian Shaw, 2003/09/09